Cottonwood Estates Neighborhood, Surprise
Crime Rate & Statistics
One of the safest neighborhoods — significantly below-average crime
Safety at a Glance
Check a specific address
in Surprise
Is Cottonwood Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is extremely safe. Cottonwood Estates in Surprise, AZ has a safety grade of A+. The overall crime index is 26, which is 74% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Surprise average (crime index 42), Cottonwood Estates is 16% lower in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, burglary is the most elevated concern (index: 156, 56% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 18). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Cottonwood Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Surprise city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
24 | -76% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
18 | -82% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
66 | -34% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
40 | -60% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
156 | +56% | High | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
79 | -21% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
77 | -23% | Low | |
How Cottonwood Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Cottonwood Estates vs Surprise average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Cottonwood Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Cottonwood Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Cottonwood Estates, Surprise?
Cottonwood Estates in Surprise, AZ has a crime safety grade of A+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 26, which is 74% below the national average. Compared to the Surprise average, crime in Cottonwood Estates is 16% lower.
Is Cottonwood Estates a safe neighborhood in Surprise?
Cottonwood Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Surprise, earning a crime grade of A+. The highest concern is Burglary (index: 156), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 18).
How does Cottonwood Estates compare to the rest of Surprise?
Cottonwood Estates's overall crime index is 26, compared to the Surprise average of 42. This means crime in Cottonwood Estates is 16% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 37, and for property crime it is 104. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Cottonwood Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Cottonwood Estates is Burglary, with a crime index of 156 (56% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Cottonwood Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Marley Park, Copper Canyon Ranch, Sun City Grand and Greer Ranch. These areas are close to Cottonwood Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Cottonwood Estates?
Cottonwood Estates has a population of approximately 34. The median household income is $83,974. The median home value is $78,214. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Cottonwood Estates crime compare to the national average?
Cottonwood Estates's overall crime rate is 74% below the national average (index 26 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.