Surprise, AZ Crime Rate & Safety
Lower crime than 96% of major U.S. cities
Safety varies across 12+ neighborhoods — Based on FBI UCR & local law enforcement data · Updated April 2026
Is Surprise Safe?
Yes — Surprise is very safe
A very safe city with well below-average crime rates overall.
Surprise has a crime rate that is 51% below the national average. Your chance of becoming a victim of violent crime is 1 in 693.
However, safety varies dramatically by neighborhood. Areas like Dove Valley earn an A+ safety grade, while Surprise Farms rates A. Understanding which neighborhoods are safe is critical for anyone living in, moving to, or visiting Surprise.
Crime Index Comparison
100 = national average. Calibrated to reflect actual crime severity.
Your Chance of Being a Victim
Violent Crime
1 in 693
chance per year
National average: 1 in 263
62% lower than national average
Property Crime
1 in 108
chance per year
National average: 1 in 55
49% lower than national average
Want to know the crime risk at your exact address?
Surprise Crime Breakdown
Estimated crime rates based on FBI UCR data, calibrated to city-level crime score.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
41 | -59% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
44 | -56% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
27 | -73% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
14 | -86% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
62 | -38% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
46 | -54% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
37 | -63% | Low | |
Violent vs Property Crime
Crime Index by Category
Surprise Crime Map
Neighborhood-level crime heatmap. Click any area for details.
See the crime score for a specific address
Where Is It Safe in Surprise?
Safety varies dramatically across Surprise's 12+ neighborhoods.
Safest Neighborhoods
Top 10Neighborhood Safety Distribution
Out of 12 neighborhoods in Surprise
All Surprise Neighborhoods
| # | Neighborhood | Grade | Crime Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dove Valley | A+ | 21 |
| 2 | Sierra Montaña | A+ | 0 |
| 3 | Copper Canyon Ranch | A+ | 13 |
| 4 | Marley Park | A+ | 33 |
| 5 | Greer Ranch | A+ | 18 |
| 6 | Asante | A+ | 42 |
| 7 | Desert Oasis at Surprise | A+ | 16 |
| 8 | Sun City Grand | A+ | 61 |
| 9 | Arizona Traditions | A+ | 49 |
| 10 | Happy Trails / Great Eagle Golf Club | A+ | 153 |
| 11 | Surprise Farms | A | 65 |
| 12 | Zanjero Trail | A | 32 |
Surprise Crime by Zip Code
Explore crime data for specific Surprise zip codes.
Surprise Demographics & Context
Racial Demographics
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Surprise, AZ?
Surprise, AZ has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime rate is estimated to be 51% below the national average. Residents face approximately a 1 in 693 chance of being a victim of violent crime per year and a 1 in 108 chance for property crime. Surprise has lower crime than 96% of major U.S. cities (population 50,000+).
Is Surprise, AZ safe to live in?
Surprise is generally considered a safe place to live, earning a crime grade of A. Approximately 100% of the city's 12 neighborhoods are rated A or B for safety. However, safety varies significantly by neighborhood. For example, Dove Valley is one of the safest areas, while Surprise Farms has higher crime rates. Researching specific neighborhoods before moving to or visiting Surprise is strongly recommended.
What are the safest neighborhoods in Surprise?
Based on 2026 crime data, the safest neighborhoods in Surprise are Dove Valley, Sierra Montaña, Copper Canyon Ranch, Marley Park, and Greer Ranch. These areas have significantly lower crime rates than the city average and are popular choices for families, professionals, and anyone prioritizing safety.
What are the most dangerous areas in Surprise?
The neighborhoods with the highest crime rates in Surprise include Surprise Farms, Happy Trails / Great Eagle Golf Club, Arizona Traditions, Sun City Grand, and Marley Park. These areas experience significantly more crime than the city average. Visitors and prospective residents should exercise extra caution in these neighborhoods, particularly at night.
What is the violent crime rate in Surprise?
The estimated violent crime rate in Surprise is 144.2 per 100,000 residents, which is 62% lower than the national average. This means residents have roughly a 1 in 693 chance of becoming a violent crime victim each year. Key violent crime rates include: murder at 2.1 per 100K (59% below average); aggravated assault at 117.1 per 100K (56% below average); robbery at 20.2 per 100K (73% below average).
What is the property crime rate in Surprise?
The estimated property crime rate in Surprise is 928.6 per 100,000 residents, which is 49% lower than the national average. Residents have roughly a 1 in 108 chance of being a property crime victim per year. Key property crime rates include: burglary at 167.8 per 100K (38% below average); larceny/theft at 642.5 per 100K (54% below average); vehicle theft at 118.3 per 100K (63% below average).
How does Surprise crime compare to the national average?
Surprise's overall crime rate is 51% below the national average as of 2026. The biggest concern is burglary (38% below average), while rape is 86% below average. Compared to other major U.S. cities, Surprise has lower crime than 96% of them.
Is Surprise safe to visit?
Surprise is generally safe for visitors and tourists. Property crime (theft, vehicle break-ins) is 49% below average, which is typically the main concern for tourists. Avoid leaving valuables in vehicles, stay aware of your surroundings in unfamiliar areas, and stick to well-traveled neighborhoods. Popular, safer areas for visitors include Dove Valley, Sierra Montaña, Copper Canyon Ranch.
How does Surprise crime compare to the rest of Arizona?
Arizona as a whole has crime that is 17% above the national average. Surprise's crime rate is 51% below the national average, making it safer the typical Arizona city.
What type of crime is most common in Surprise?
Larceny/theft is the most common crime in Surprise, with an estimated rate of 642.5 incidents per 100,000 residents. This is 54% below the national average for this crime type. Overall, property crime (929 per 100K) is more prevalent than violent crime (144 per 100K) in Surprise, which is consistent with national trends.