Surprise, AZ skyline

Surprise, AZ Crime Rate & Safety

Grade: A

Lower crime than 96% of major U.S. cities

Safety varies across 12+ neighborhoods — Based on FBI UCR & local law enforcement data · Updated April 2026

51%
Below Avg Crime
1 in 693
Violent Crime Risk
1 in 108
Property Crime Risk
100%
Safe Neighborhoods

Is Surprise Safe?

Yes — Surprise is very safe

A very safe city with well below-average crime rates overall.

Surprise has a crime rate that is 51% below the national average. Your chance of becoming a victim of violent crime is 1 in 693.

However, safety varies dramatically by neighborhood. Areas like Dove Valley earn an A+ safety grade, while Surprise Farms rates A. Understanding which neighborhoods are safe is critical for anyone living in, moving to, or visiting Surprise.

Crime Index Comparison

Surprise
49
National Avg
100

100 = national average. Calibrated to reflect actual crime severity.

Your Chance of Being a Victim

Violent Crime

1 in 693

chance per year

National average: 1 in 263

62% lower than national average

Property Crime

1 in 108

chance per year

National average: 1 in 55

49% lower than national average

Want to know the crime risk at your exact address?

Surprise Crime Breakdown

Estimated crime rates based on FBI UCR data, calibrated to city-level crime score.

Highest Risk
Burglary · 38% below avg
Lowest Risk
Rape · 86% below avg
Crime Type Index vs National Risk Level
Violent Crime
Murder
41 -59% Low
Assault
44 -56% Low
Robbery
27 -73% Low
Rape
14 -86% Low
Property Crime
Burglary
62 -38% Low
Larceny / Theft
46 -54% Low
Vehicle Theft
37 -63% Low

Violent vs Property Crime

Crime Index by Category

Surprise Crime Map

Neighborhood-level crime heatmap. Click any area for details.

Full Screen Map
Crime Level: Low Below Avg Average Above Avg High

See the crime score for a specific address

Where Is It Safe in Surprise?

Safety varies dramatically across Surprise's 12+ neighborhoods.

Not sure which neighborhood you're in?

Neighborhood Safety Distribution

Out of 12 neighborhoods in Surprise

All Surprise Neighborhoods

# Neighborhood Grade Crime Index
1 Dove Valley A+ 21
2 Sierra Montaña A+ 0
3 Copper Canyon Ranch A+ 13
4 Marley Park A+ 33
5 Greer Ranch A+ 18
6 Asante A+ 42
7 Desert Oasis at Surprise A+ 16
8 Sun City Grand A+ 61
9 Arizona Traditions A+ 49
10 Happy Trails / Great Eagle Golf Club A+ 153
11 Surprise Farms A 65
12 Zanjero Trail A 32

Surprise Crime by Zip Code

Explore crime data for specific Surprise zip codes.

Surprise Demographics & Context

Population
139,007
Median Income
$71,192
Home Value
$257,309
Median Rent
$1,443
Ownership
76%

Racial Demographics

Hispanic / Latino 19.6%
White 75.4%
Black 6.3%
Asian 3.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crime rate in Surprise, AZ?

Surprise, AZ has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime rate is estimated to be 51% below the national average. Residents face approximately a 1 in 693 chance of being a victim of violent crime per year and a 1 in 108 chance for property crime. Surprise has lower crime than 96% of major U.S. cities (population 50,000+).

Is Surprise, AZ safe to live in?

Surprise is generally considered a safe place to live, earning a crime grade of A. Approximately 100% of the city's 12 neighborhoods are rated A or B for safety. However, safety varies significantly by neighborhood. For example, Dove Valley is one of the safest areas, while Surprise Farms has higher crime rates. Researching specific neighborhoods before moving to or visiting Surprise is strongly recommended.

What are the safest neighborhoods in Surprise?

Based on 2026 crime data, the safest neighborhoods in Surprise are Dove Valley, Sierra Montaña, Copper Canyon Ranch, Marley Park, and Greer Ranch. These areas have significantly lower crime rates than the city average and are popular choices for families, professionals, and anyone prioritizing safety.

What are the most dangerous areas in Surprise?

The neighborhoods with the highest crime rates in Surprise include Surprise Farms, Happy Trails / Great Eagle Golf Club, Arizona Traditions, Sun City Grand, and Marley Park. These areas experience significantly more crime than the city average. Visitors and prospective residents should exercise extra caution in these neighborhoods, particularly at night.

What is the violent crime rate in Surprise?

The estimated violent crime rate in Surprise is 144.2 per 100,000 residents, which is 62% lower than the national average. This means residents have roughly a 1 in 693 chance of becoming a violent crime victim each year. Key violent crime rates include: murder at 2.1 per 100K (59% below average); aggravated assault at 117.1 per 100K (56% below average); robbery at 20.2 per 100K (73% below average).

What is the property crime rate in Surprise?

The estimated property crime rate in Surprise is 928.6 per 100,000 residents, which is 49% lower than the national average. Residents have roughly a 1 in 108 chance of being a property crime victim per year. Key property crime rates include: burglary at 167.8 per 100K (38% below average); larceny/theft at 642.5 per 100K (54% below average); vehicle theft at 118.3 per 100K (63% below average).

How does Surprise crime compare to the national average?

Surprise's overall crime rate is 51% below the national average as of 2026. The biggest concern is burglary (38% below average), while rape is 86% below average. Compared to other major U.S. cities, Surprise has lower crime than 96% of them.

Is Surprise safe to visit?

Surprise is generally safe for visitors and tourists. Property crime (theft, vehicle break-ins) is 49% below average, which is typically the main concern for tourists. Avoid leaving valuables in vehicles, stay aware of your surroundings in unfamiliar areas, and stick to well-traveled neighborhoods. Popular, safer areas for visitors include Dove Valley, Sierra Montaña, Copper Canyon Ranch.

How does Surprise crime compare to the rest of Arizona?

Arizona as a whole has crime that is 17% above the national average. Surprise's crime rate is 51% below the national average, making it safer the typical Arizona city.

What type of crime is most common in Surprise?

Larceny/theft is the most common crime in Surprise, with an estimated rate of 642.5 incidents per 100,000 residents. This is 54% below the national average for this crime type. Overall, property crime (929 per 100K) is more prevalent than violent crime (144 per 100K) in Surprise, which is consistent with national trends.

Crime Statistics for Nearby Cities

Crime Statistics by State