Riley Estates Neighborhood, Stafford
Crime Rate & Statistics
Elevated crime — noticeably above the national average
Safety at a Glance
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in Stafford
Is Riley Estates Safe?
No — crime is noticeably above average here. Riley Estates in Stafford, VA has a safety grade of D+. The overall crime index is 199, which is 99% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Stafford average (crime index 79), Riley Estates is 120% higher in overall crime. Residents and visitors should exercise extra caution in this area, particularly after dark.
Looking at specific crime types, murder is the most elevated concern (index: 199, 99% above average), while burglary is the lowest risk (index: 182).
Riley Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Stafford city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
199 | +99% | High | |
|
Assault
|
198 | +98% | High | |
|
Robbery
|
198 | +98% | High | |
|
Rape
|
199 | +99% | High | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
182 | +82% | High | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
198 | +98% | High | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
199 | +99% | High | |
How Riley Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Riley Estates vs Stafford average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Riley Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Riley Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Riley Estates, Stafford?
Riley Estates in Stafford, VA has a crime safety grade of D+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 199, which is 99% above the national average. Compared to the Stafford average, crime in Riley Estates is 120% higher.
Is Riley Estates a safe neighborhood in Stafford?
Riley Estates has elevated crime levels with a safety grade of D+. Extra caution is recommended, especially at night. The highest concern is Murder (index: 199), while Burglary is the lowest risk (index: 182).
How does Riley Estates compare to the rest of Stafford?
Riley Estates's overall crime index is 199, compared to the Stafford average of 79. This means crime in Riley Estates is 120% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 199, and for property crime it is 193. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Riley Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Riley Estates is Murder, with a crime index of 199 (99% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Riley Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Hampton Oaks, Aquia Harbour, Boswell's Corner and Embrey Mill. These areas are close to Riley Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Riley Estates?
Riley Estates has a population of approximately 28. The median household income is $85,870. The median home value is $494,536. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Riley Estates crime compare to the national average?
Riley Estates's overall crime rate is 99% above the national average (index 199 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.