Moncure Valley Neighborhood, Stafford
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
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in Stafford
Is Moncure Valley Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Moncure Valley in Stafford, VA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 85, which is 15% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Stafford average (crime index 79), Moncure Valley is 6% higher in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.
Looking at specific crime types, larceny / theft is the most elevated concern (index: 131, 31% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 61). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Moncure Valley Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Stafford city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
106 | +6% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
62 | -38% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
112 | +12% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
61 | -39% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
78 | -22% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
131 | +31% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
124 | +24% | Moderate | |
How Moncure Valley Compares
Crime index by category: Moncure Valley vs Stafford average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Moncure Valley Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Moncure Valley Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Moncure Valley, Stafford?
Moncure Valley in Stafford, VA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 85, which is 15% below the national average. Compared to the Stafford average, crime in Moncure Valley is 6% higher.
Is Moncure Valley a safe neighborhood in Stafford?
Moncure Valley is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Stafford, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Larceny / Theft (index: 131), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 61).
How does Moncure Valley compare to the rest of Stafford?
Moncure Valley's overall crime index is 85, compared to the Stafford average of 79. This means crime in Moncure Valley is 6% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 85, and for property crime it is 111. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Moncure Valley?
The most prevalent crime type in Moncure Valley is Larceny / Theft, with a crime index of 131 (31% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Moncure Valley?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Embrey Mill, Hampton Oaks, Aquia Harbour and Colonial Forge. These areas are close to Moncure Valley and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Moncure Valley?
Moncure Valley has a population of approximately 129. The median household income is $128,682. The median home value is $608,573. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Moncure Valley crime compare to the national average?
Moncure Valley's overall crime rate is 15% below the national average (index 85 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.