Moncure Estates Neighborhood, Stafford
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
Check a specific address
in Stafford
Is Moncure Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Moncure Estates in Stafford, VA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 85, which is 15% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Stafford average (crime index 79), Moncure Estates is 6% higher in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.
Looking at specific crime types, larceny / theft is the most elevated concern (index: 131, 31% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 61). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Moncure Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Stafford city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
106 | +6% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
62 | -38% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
112 | +12% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
61 | -39% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
78 | -22% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
131 | +31% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
124 | +24% | Moderate | |
How Moncure Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Moncure Estates vs Stafford average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Moncure Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Moncure Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Moncure Estates, Stafford?
Moncure Estates in Stafford, VA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 85, which is 15% below the national average. Compared to the Stafford average, crime in Moncure Estates is 6% higher.
Is Moncure Estates a safe neighborhood in Stafford?
Moncure Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Stafford, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Larceny / Theft (index: 131), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 61).
How does Moncure Estates compare to the rest of Stafford?
Moncure Estates's overall crime index is 85, compared to the Stafford average of 79. This means crime in Moncure Estates is 6% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 85, and for property crime it is 111. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Moncure Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Moncure Estates is Larceny / Theft, with a crime index of 131 (31% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Moncure Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Embrey Mill, Hampton Oaks, Colonial Forge and Aquia Harbour. These areas are close to Moncure Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Moncure Estates?
Moncure Estates has a population of approximately 63. The median household income is $128,682. The median home value is $621,188. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Moncure Estates crime compare to the national average?
Moncure Estates's overall crime rate is 15% below the national average (index 85 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.