Hope Run Estates Neighborhood, Stafford
Crime Rate & Statistics
Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates
Safety at a Glance
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in Stafford
Is Hope Run Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. Hope Run Estates in Stafford, VA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 109, which is 9% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Stafford average (crime index 79), Hope Run Estates is 30% higher in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 130, 30% above average), while vehicle theft is the lowest risk (index: 13). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.
Hope Run Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Stafford city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
101 | +1% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
58 | -42% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
122 | +22% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
130 | +30% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
60 | -40% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
64 | -36% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
13 | -87% | Low | |
How Hope Run Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Hope Run Estates vs Stafford average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Hope Run Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Hope Run Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Hope Run Estates, Stafford?
Hope Run Estates in Stafford, VA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 109, which is 9% above the national average. Compared to the Stafford average, crime in Hope Run Estates is 30% higher.
Is Hope Run Estates a safe neighborhood in Stafford?
Hope Run Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Stafford, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Rape (index: 130), while Vehicle Theft is the lowest risk (index: 13).
How does Hope Run Estates compare to the rest of Stafford?
Hope Run Estates's overall crime index is 109, compared to the Stafford average of 79. This means crime in Hope Run Estates is 30% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 103, and for property crime it is 46. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Hope Run Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Hope Run Estates is Rape, with a crime index of 130 (30% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Hope Run Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Aquia Harbour, Embrey Mill, Hampton Oaks and Colonial Forge. These areas are close to Hope Run Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Hope Run Estates?
Hope Run Estates has a population of approximately 36. The median household income is $145,192. The median home value is $681,468. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Hope Run Estates crime compare to the national average?
Hope Run Estates's overall crime rate is 9% above the national average (index 109 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.