The Provinces Neighborhood, Saint Paul
Crime Rate & Statistics
Above-average safety — lower crime than most neighborhoods
Safety at a Glance
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in Saint Paul
Is The Provinces Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safer than most. The Provinces in Saint Paul, MN has a safety grade of B+. The overall crime index is 151, which is 51% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Saint Paul average (crime index 65), The Provinces is 86% higher in overall crime. Residents and visitors should exercise extra caution in this area, particularly after dark.
Looking at specific crime types, burglary is the most elevated concern (index: 199, 99% above average), while robbery is the lowest risk (index: 46). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
The Provinces Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Saint Paul city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
151 | +51% | High | |
|
Assault
|
141 | +41% | Moderate | |
|
Robbery
|
46 | -54% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
63 | -37% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
199 | +99% | High | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
135 | +35% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
117 | +17% | Moderate | |
How The Provinces Compares
Crime index by category: The Provinces vs Saint Paul average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
The Provinces Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
The Provinces Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in The Provinces, Saint Paul?
The Provinces in Saint Paul, MN has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 151, which is 51% above the national average. Compared to the Saint Paul average, crime in The Provinces is 86% higher.
Is The Provinces a safe neighborhood in Saint Paul?
The Provinces is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Saint Paul, earning a crime grade of B+. The highest concern is Burglary (index: 199), while Robbery is the lowest risk (index: 46).
How does The Provinces compare to the rest of Saint Paul?
The Provinces's overall crime index is 151, compared to the Saint Paul average of 65. This means crime in The Provinces is 86% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 100, and for property crime it is 150. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in The Provinces?
The most prevalent crime type in The Provinces is Burglary, with a crime index of 199 (99% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near The Provinces?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Little Canada, South Owasso, Capital View and Western Hills. These areas are close to The Provinces and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of The Provinces?
The Provinces has a population of approximately 23. The median household income is $52,338. The median home value is $126,402. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does The Provinces crime compare to the national average?
The Provinces's overall crime rate is 51% above the national average (index 151 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.