Old Carolina Road Estates Neighborhood, Haymarket

Crime Rate & Statistics

A

Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates

Safety at a Glance

Overall Crime Low
Low 38 / 300 High
Violent Crime 24
76% below national avg
Property Crime 15
85% below national avg

Check a specific address

in Haymarket

Is Old Carolina Road Estates Safe?

Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. Old Carolina Road Estates in Haymarket, VA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 38, which is 62% below the national average of 100.

Compared to the Haymarket average (crime index 76), Old Carolina Road Estates is 38% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Haymarket as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.

Looking at specific crime types, murder is the most elevated concern (index: 60, 40% below average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 8).

Highest Risk
Murder · Index 60 (40% below avg)
Lowest Risk
Assault · Index 8 (92% below avg)

Old Carolina Road Estates Crime Breakdown

Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Haymarket city average. Higher values mean more crime.

Crime Type Index vs National Risk Level
Violent Crime
Murder
60 -40% Low
Assault
8 -92% Low
Robbery
16 -84% Low
Rape
11 -89% Low
Property Crime
Burglary
15 -85% Low
Larceny / Theft
15 -85% Low
Vehicle Theft
16 -84% Low

How Old Carolina Road Estates Compares

Crime index by category: Old Carolina Road Estates vs Haymarket average vs national average.

Crime by Category

Overall Crime Comparison

Old Carolina Road Estates Crime Map

Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.

Full Screen Map
Crime Level: Low Below Avg Average Above Avg High

See the crime score for a specific address

Old Carolina Road Estates Demographics & Context

Population
461
Median Income
$164,791
Home Value
$717,535
Median Age
32
Pop. Density
4,024/mi²

Education

Bachelor's Degree 37.7%
Graduate Degree 11.6%

Housing

83%
17%
Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

Racial Demographics

White 62.6%
Black 11%
Hispanic 8.2%
Asian 17.6%

Nearby Neighborhoods

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crime rate in Old Carolina Road Estates, Haymarket?

Old Carolina Road Estates in Haymarket, VA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 38, which is 62% below the national average. Compared to the Haymarket average, crime in Old Carolina Road Estates is 38% lower.

Is Old Carolina Road Estates a safe neighborhood in Haymarket?

Old Carolina Road Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Haymarket, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Murder (index: 60), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 8).

How does Old Carolina Road Estates compare to the rest of Haymarket?

Old Carolina Road Estates's overall crime index is 38, compared to the Haymarket average of 76. This means crime in Old Carolina Road Estates is 38% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 24, and for property crime it is 15. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.

What type of crime is most common in Old Carolina Road Estates?

The most prevalent crime type in Old Carolina Road Estates is Murder, with a crime index of 60 (40% below the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.

What are safer neighborhoods near Old Carolina Road Estates?

Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Haymarket, Dominion Valley, Estates at Bull Run Golf Club and Bull Run Mountain Estates. These areas are close to Old Carolina Road Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.

What are the demographics of Old Carolina Road Estates?

Old Carolina Road Estates has a population of approximately 461. The median household income is $164,791. The median home value is $717,535. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.

How does Old Carolina Road Estates crime compare to the national average?

Old Carolina Road Estates's overall crime rate is 62% below the national average (index 38 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.

Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.