Bull Run Mountain Estates Neighborhood, Haymarket

Crime Rate & Statistics

A+

One of the safest neighborhoods — significantly below-average crime

Safer than 25% of neighborhoods in Haymarket

Safety at a Glance

Overall Crime Average

Low 84 / 300 High

Violent Crime 106

6% above national avg

Property Crime 36

64% below national avg

City Ranking

25%

safer than other

Haymarket neighborhoods

Check a specific address

in Haymarket

Is Bull Run Mountain Estates Safe?

Yes — this neighborhood is extremely safe. Bull Run Mountain Estates in Haymarket, VA has a safety grade of A+. The overall crime index is 84, which is 16% below the national average of 100. Bull Run Mountain Estates is safer than 25% of neighborhoods in Haymarket.

Compared to the Haymarket average (crime index 76), Bull Run Mountain Estates is 8% higher in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.

Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 143, 43% above average), while vehicle theft is the lowest risk (index: 2). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.

Highest Risk

Rape · Index 143 (43% above avg)

Lowest Risk

Vehicle Theft · Index 2 (98% below avg)

Bull Run Mountain Estates Crime Breakdown

Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Haymarket city average. Higher values mean more crime.

Crime Type	Index	vs National	vs Haymarket	Risk Level
Violent Crime
Murder	78	-22%	+15%	Low
Assault	60	-40%	+2%	Low
Robbery	142	+42%	+39%	Moderate
Rape	143	+43%	N/A	Moderate
Property Crime
Burglary	82	-18%	-9%	Average
Larceny / Theft	25	-75%	-21%	Low
Vehicle Theft	2	-98%	-28%	Low

How Bull Run Mountain Estates Compares

Crime index by category: Bull Run Mountain Estates vs Haymarket average vs national average.

Crime by Category

Overall Crime Comparison

Bull Run Mountain Estates Crime Map

Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.

Full Screen Map

Crime Level: Low Below Avg Average Above Avg High

See the crime score for a specific address

Bull Run Mountain Estates Demographics & Context

Population

517

Median Income

$152,937

Home Value

$498,260

Median Age

Pop. Density

297/mi²

Education

Bachelor's Degree 27.8%

Graduate Degree 18.3%

Housing

91%

Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

Racial Demographics

White 88.6%

Black 4%

Hispanic 5.5%

Asian 2.8%

Nearby Neighborhoods

Estates at Bull Run Golf Club Index: 106

A+

Dominion Valley Index: 19

A+

Haymarket Index: 94

A-

Bull Run Mountain Estates Crime Map

Interactive crime heatmap for this neighborhood

Haymarket Crime Statistics

View all Haymarket neighborhoods & city-wide data

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crime rate in Bull Run Mountain Estates, Haymarket?

Bull Run Mountain Estates in Haymarket, VA has a crime safety grade of A+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 84, which is 16% below the national average. Compared to the Haymarket average, crime in Bull Run Mountain Estates is 8% higher. Bull Run Mountain Estates is safer than 25% of neighborhoods in Haymarket.

Is Bull Run Mountain Estates a safe neighborhood in Haymarket?

Bull Run Mountain Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Haymarket, earning a crime grade of A+. The highest concern is Rape (index: 143), while Vehicle Theft is the lowest risk (index: 2). It is one of the safest neighborhoods in Haymarket.

How does Bull Run Mountain Estates compare to the rest of Haymarket?

Bull Run Mountain Estates's overall crime index is 84, compared to the Haymarket average of 76. This means crime in Bull Run Mountain Estates is 8% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 106, and for property crime it is 36. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.

What type of crime is most common in Bull Run Mountain Estates?

The most prevalent crime type in Bull Run Mountain Estates is Rape, with a crime index of 143 (43% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.

What are safer neighborhoods near Bull Run Mountain Estates?

Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Estates at Bull Run Golf Club, Dominion Valley and Haymarket. These areas are close to Bull Run Mountain Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.

What are the demographics of Bull Run Mountain Estates?

Bull Run Mountain Estates has a population of approximately 517. The median household income is $152,937. The median home value is $498,260. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.

How does Bull Run Mountain Estates crime compare to the national average?

Bull Run Mountain Estates's overall crime rate is 16% below the national average (index 84 vs 100). Within Haymarket, it is safer than 25% of neighborhoods. For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.

Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.