Sterling, VA Crime Rate & Safety
Higher crime than 89% of major U.S. cities
Based on FBI UCR & local law enforcement data · Updated April 2026
Is Sterling Safe?
Not really — crime is above the national average
Neighborhood choice matters significantly. Stay aware of your surroundings, especially at night.
Sterling has a crime rate that is 53% above the national average. Your chance of becoming a victim of violent crime is 1 in 200.
However, safety varies dramatically by neighborhood. Areas like Lowes Island earn an A+ safety grade, while Dulles Town Center rates B+. Understanding which neighborhoods are safe is critical for anyone living in, moving to, or visiting Sterling.
Crime Index Comparison
100 = national average. Calibrated to reflect actual crime severity.
Your Chance of Being a Victim
Violent Crime
1 in 200
chance per year
National average: 1 in 263
31% higher than national average
Property Crime
1 in 31
chance per year
National average: 1 in 55
75% higher than national average
Want to know the crime risk at your exact address?
Sterling Crime Breakdown
Estimated crime rates based on FBI UCR data, calibrated to city-level crime score.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
157 | +57% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
114 | +14% | Average | |
|
Robbery
|
170 | +70% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
184 | +84% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
102 | +2% | Average | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
176 | +76% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
147 | +47% | Moderate | |
Violent vs Property Crime
Crime Index by Category
Sterling Crime Map
Neighborhood-level crime heatmap. Click any area for details.
See the crime score for a specific address
Where Is It Safe in Sterling?
Safety varies dramatically across Sterling's 9+ neighborhoods.
Safest Neighborhoods
Top 9Areas with Higher Crime
Bottom 8Neighborhood Safety Distribution
Out of 9 neighborhoods in Sterling
All Sterling Neighborhoods
| # | Neighborhood | Grade | Crime Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lowes Island | A+ | 19 |
| 2 | Cascades | A | 44 |
| 3 | Washington Dulles International Airport | A | 41 |
| 4 | Countryside | A | 71 |
| 5 | Oak Grove | A- | 47 |
| 6 | Sugarland Run | B+ | 101 |
| 7 | Arcola | B+ | 128 |
| 8 | Sterling | B+ | 120 |
| 9 | Dulles Town Center | B+ | 138 |
Sterling Crime by Zip Code
Explore crime data for specific Sterling zip codes.
Sterling Demographics & Context
Racial Demographics
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Sterling, VA?
Sterling, VA has a crime safety grade of C- as of 2026. The overall crime rate is estimated to be 53% above the national average. Residents face approximately a 1 in 200 chance of being a victim of violent crime per year and a 1 in 31 chance for property crime. Sterling has higher crime than 89% of major U.S. cities (population 50,000+).
Is Sterling, VA safe to live in?
Sterling has a moderate level of crime with a safety grade of C-. Approximately 100% of the city's 9 neighborhoods are rated A or B for safety. However, safety varies significantly by neighborhood. For example, Lowes Island is one of the safest areas, while Dulles Town Center has higher crime rates. Researching specific neighborhoods before moving to or visiting Sterling is strongly recommended.
What are the safest neighborhoods in Sterling?
Based on 2026 crime data, the safest neighborhoods in Sterling are Lowes Island, Cascades, Washington Dulles International Airport, Countryside, and Oak Grove. These areas have significantly lower crime rates than the city average and are popular choices for families, professionals, and anyone prioritizing safety.
What are the most dangerous areas in Sterling?
The neighborhoods with the highest crime rates in Sterling include Dulles Town Center, Sterling, Arcola, Sugarland Run, and Oak Grove. These areas experience significantly more crime than the city average. Visitors and prospective residents should exercise extra caution in these neighborhoods, particularly at night.
What is the violent crime rate in Sterling?
The estimated violent crime rate in Sterling is 500.0 per 100,000 residents, which is 31% higher than the national average. This means residents have roughly a 1 in 200 chance of becoming a violent crime victim each year. Key violent crime rates include: murder at 7.9 per 100K (57% above average); aggravated assault at 304.8 per 100K (14% above average); robbery at 125.5 per 100K (70% above average).
What is the property crime rate in Sterling?
The estimated property crime rate in Sterling is 3,213.8 per 100,000 residents, which is 75% higher than the national average. Residents have roughly a 1 in 31 chance of being a property crime victim per year. Key property crime rates include: burglary at 275.6 per 100K (2% above average); larceny/theft at 2,470.1 per 100K (76% above average); vehicle theft at 468.1 per 100K (47% above average).
How does Sterling crime compare to the national average?
Sterling's overall crime rate is 53% above the national average as of 2026. The biggest concern is rape (84% above average), while burglary is 2% above average. Compared to other major U.S. cities, Sterling has higher crime than 89% of them.
Is Sterling safe to visit?
Visitors to Sterling should take standard urban precautions. Property crime (theft, vehicle break-ins) is 75% above average, which is typically the main concern for tourists. Avoid leaving valuables in vehicles, stay aware of your surroundings in unfamiliar areas, and stick to well-traveled neighborhoods. Popular, safer areas for visitors include Lowes Island, Cascades, Washington Dulles International Airport.
How does Sterling crime compare to the rest of Virginia?
Virginia as a whole has crime that is 12% above the national average. Sterling's crime rate is 53% above the national average, making it more dangerous than the typical Virginia city.
What type of crime is most common in Sterling?
Larceny/theft is the most common crime in Sterling, with an estimated rate of 2,470.1 incidents per 100,000 residents. This is 76% above the national average for this crime type. Overall, property crime (3,214 per 100K) is more prevalent than violent crime (500 per 100K) in Sterling, which is consistent with national trends.