Lucas Valley Estates Neighborhood, San Rafael
Crime Rate & Statistics
One of the safest neighborhoods — significantly below-average crime
Safety at a Glance
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in San Rafael
Is Lucas Valley Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is extremely safe. Lucas Valley Estates in San Rafael, CA has a safety grade of A+. The overall crime index is 8, which is 92% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the San Rafael average (crime index 78), Lucas Valley Estates is 70% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than San Rafael as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, robbery is the most elevated concern (index: 60, 40% below average), while murder is the lowest risk (index: 8).
Lucas Valley Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and San Rafael city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
8 | -92% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
36 | -64% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
60 | -40% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
60 | -40% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
13 | -87% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
33 | -67% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
25 | -75% | Low | |
How Lucas Valley Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Lucas Valley Estates vs San Rafael average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Lucas Valley Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Lucas Valley Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Lucas Valley Estates, San Rafael?
Lucas Valley Estates in San Rafael, CA has a crime safety grade of A+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 8, which is 92% below the national average. Compared to the San Rafael average, crime in Lucas Valley Estates is 70% lower.
Is Lucas Valley Estates a safe neighborhood in San Rafael?
Lucas Valley Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in San Rafael, earning a crime grade of A+. The highest concern is Robbery (index: 60), while Murder is the lowest risk (index: 8).
How does Lucas Valley Estates compare to the rest of San Rafael?
Lucas Valley Estates's overall crime index is 8, compared to the San Rafael average of 78. This means crime in Lucas Valley Estates is 70% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 41, and for property crime it is 24. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Lucas Valley Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Lucas Valley Estates is Robbery, with a crime index of 60 (40% below the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Lucas Valley Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include San Rafael, Forbes / Fairhills, West End and Dominican / Black Canyon. These areas are close to Lucas Valley Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Lucas Valley Estates?
Lucas Valley Estates has a population of approximately 38. The median household income is $248,771. The median home value is $1,918,541. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Lucas Valley Estates crime compare to the national average?
Lucas Valley Estates's overall crime rate is 92% below the national average (index 8 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.