Willow Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Willow Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Willow Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 97, which is 3% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Willow Estates is 30% lower in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, burglary is the most elevated concern (index: 161, 61% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 46). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Willow Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
95 | -5% | Average | |
|
Assault
|
46 | -54% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
128 | +28% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
118 | +18% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
161 | +61% | High | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
86 | -14% | Average | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
108 | +8% | Moderate | |
How Willow Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Willow Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Willow Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Willow Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Willow Estates, Modesto?
Willow Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 97, which is 3% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Willow Estates is 30% lower.
Is Willow Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Willow Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Burglary (index: 161), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 46).
How does Willow Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Willow Estates's overall crime index is 97, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Willow Estates is 30% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 97, and for property crime it is 118. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Willow Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Willow Estates is Burglary, with a crime index of 161 (61% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Willow Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Downtown, Graceada Park, Enslen and Hintze / Fairmont. These areas are close to Willow Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Willow Estates?
Willow Estates has a population of approximately 140. The median household income is $45,842. The median home value is $358,425. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Willow Estates crime compare to the national average?
Willow Estates's overall crime rate is 3% below the national average (index 97 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.