The Smoke Tree Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is The Smoke Tree Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. The Smoke Tree in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 73, which is 27% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), The Smoke Tree is 54% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, larceny / theft is the most elevated concern (index: 119, 19% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 63). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
The Smoke Tree Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
88 | -12% | Average | |
|
Assault
|
63 | -37% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
76 | -24% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
75 | -25% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
67 | -33% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
119 | +19% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
110 | +10% | Moderate | |
How The Smoke Tree Compares
Crime index by category: The Smoke Tree vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
The Smoke Tree Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
The Smoke Tree Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in The Smoke Tree, Modesto?
The Smoke Tree in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 73, which is 27% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in The Smoke Tree is 54% lower.
Is The Smoke Tree a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
The Smoke Tree is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Larceny / Theft (index: 119), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 63).
How does The Smoke Tree compare to the rest of Modesto?
The Smoke Tree's overall crime index is 73, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in The Smoke Tree is 54% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 76, and for property crime it is 99. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in The Smoke Tree?
The most prevalent crime type in The Smoke Tree is Larceny / Theft, with a crime index of 119 (19% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near The Smoke Tree?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Enslen. These areas are close to The Smoke Tree and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of The Smoke Tree?
The Smoke Tree has a population of approximately 551. The median household income is $77,568. The median home value is $393,077. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does The Smoke Tree crime compare to the national average?
The Smoke Tree's overall crime rate is 27% below the national average (index 73 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.