Orange Park Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Above-average safety — lower crime than most neighborhoods
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Orange Park Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safer than most. Orange Park Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of B+. The overall crime index is 131, which is 31% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Orange Park Estates is 4% higher in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.
Looking at specific crime types, murder is the most elevated concern (index: 150, 50% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 61).
Orange Park Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
150 | +50% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
122 | +22% | Moderate | |
|
Robbery
|
89 | -11% | Average | |
|
Rape
|
61 | -39% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
62 | -38% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
114 | +14% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
116 | +16% | Moderate | |
How Orange Park Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Orange Park Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Orange Park Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Orange Park Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Orange Park Estates, Modesto?
Orange Park Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 131, which is 31% above the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Orange Park Estates is 4% higher.
Is Orange Park Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Orange Park Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of B+. The highest concern is Murder (index: 150), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 61).
How does Orange Park Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Orange Park Estates's overall crime index is 131, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Orange Park Estates is 4% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 106, and for property crime it is 97. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Orange Park Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Orange Park Estates is Murder, with a crime index of 150 (50% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Orange Park Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Enslen. These areas are close to Orange Park Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Orange Park Estates?
Orange Park Estates has a population of approximately 67. The median household income is $82,460. The median home value is $424,950. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Orange Park Estates crime compare to the national average?
Orange Park Estates's overall crime rate is 31% above the national average (index 131 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.