Northland Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Above-average safety — lower crime than most neighborhoods
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Northland Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safer than most. Northland Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of B+. The overall crime index is 122, which is 22% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Northland Estates is 5% lower in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.
Looking at specific crime types, robbery is the most elevated concern (index: 168, 68% above average), while burglary is the lowest risk (index: 94). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.
Northland Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
125 | +25% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
154 | +54% | High | |
|
Robbery
|
168 | +68% | High | |
|
Rape
|
127 | +27% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
94 | -6% | Average | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
131 | +31% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
118 | +18% | Moderate | |
How Northland Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Northland Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Northland Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Northland Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Northland Estates, Modesto?
Northland Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 122, which is 22% above the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Northland Estates is 5% lower.
Is Northland Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Northland Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of B+. The highest concern is Robbery (index: 168), while Burglary is the lowest risk (index: 94).
How does Northland Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Northland Estates's overall crime index is 122, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Northland Estates is 5% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 144, and for property crime it is 114. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Northland Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Northland Estates is Robbery, with a crime index of 168 (68% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Northland Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Enslen, Hintze / Fairmont, Vintage Fair Estates and Vintage Modesto East McHenry. These areas are close to Northland Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Northland Estates?
Northland Estates has a population of approximately 116. The median household income is $85,312. The median home value is $380,318. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Northland Estates crime compare to the national average?
Northland Estates's overall crime rate is 22% above the national average (index 122 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.