Lincoln Square Neighborhood, Modesto
Last updated: June 14, 2026
Crime Rate & Statistics
Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates
Summary: Lincoln Square, Modesto Crime Rate (2026)
Lincoln Square in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 84, which is 16% below the national average.
Data source: FBI UCR & local law enforcement data. Last updated: June 14, 2026.
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Lincoln Square Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. Lincoln Square in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 84, which is 16% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Lincoln Square is 43% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, vehicle theft is the most elevated concern (index: 105, 5% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 45).
Lincoln Square Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
70 | -30% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
45 | -55% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
87 | -13% | Average | |
|
Rape
|
80 | -20% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
68 | -32% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
86 | -14% | Average | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
105 | +5% | Moderate | |
How Lincoln Square Compares
Crime index by category: Lincoln Square vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Lincoln Square Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
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Lincoln Square Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Lincoln Square, Modesto?
Lincoln Square in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 84, which is 16% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Lincoln Square is 43% lower.
Is Lincoln Square a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Lincoln Square is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Vehicle Theft (index: 105), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 45).
How does Lincoln Square compare to the rest of Modesto?
Lincoln Square's overall crime index is 84, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Lincoln Square is 43% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 71, and for property crime it is 86. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Lincoln Square?
The most prevalent crime type in Lincoln Square is Vehicle Theft, with a crime index of 105 (5% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Lincoln Square?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Downtown. These areas are close to Lincoln Square and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Lincoln Square?
Lincoln Square has a population of approximately 1,811. The median household income is $49,563. The median home value is $343,784. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Lincoln Square crime compare to the national average?
Lincoln Square's overall crime rate is 16% below the national average (index 84 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated June 2026.