Lincoln Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Last updated: May 2, 2026
Crime Rate & Statistics
Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates
Summary: Lincoln Estates, Modesto Crime Rate (2026)
Lincoln Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 55, which is 45% below the national average.
Data source: FBI UCR & local law enforcement data. Last updated: May 2, 2026.
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Lincoln Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. Lincoln Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 55, which is 45% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Lincoln Estates is 72% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, burglary is the most elevated concern (index: 146, 46% above average), while murder is the lowest risk (index: 47). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Lincoln Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
47 | -53% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
107 | +7% | Moderate | |
|
Robbery
|
49 | -51% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
54 | -46% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
146 | +46% | Moderate | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
119 | +19% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
80 | -20% | Low | |
How Lincoln Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Lincoln Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Lincoln Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Lincoln Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Lincoln Estates, Modesto?
Lincoln Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 55, which is 45% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Lincoln Estates is 72% lower.
Is Lincoln Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Lincoln Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Burglary (index: 146), while Murder is the lowest risk (index: 47).
How does Lincoln Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Lincoln Estates's overall crime index is 55, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Lincoln Estates is 72% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 64, and for property crime it is 115. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Lincoln Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Lincoln Estates is Burglary, with a crime index of 146 (46% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Lincoln Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Enslen. These areas are close to Lincoln Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Lincoln Estates?
Lincoln Estates has a population of approximately 396. The median household income is $58,448. The median home value is $493,371. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Lincoln Estates crime compare to the national average?
Lincoln Estates's overall crime rate is 45% below the national average (index 55 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated May 2026.