Herndon Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Herndon Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Herndon Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 45, which is 55% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Herndon Estates is 82% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, vehicle theft is the most elevated concern (index: 106, 6% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 39).
Herndon Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
58 | -42% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
39 | -61% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
98 | -2% | Average | |
|
Rape
|
78 | -22% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
52 | -48% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
95 | -5% | Average | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
106 | +6% | Moderate | |
How Herndon Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Herndon Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Herndon Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Herndon Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Herndon Estates, Modesto?
Herndon Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 45, which is 55% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Herndon Estates is 82% lower.
Is Herndon Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Herndon Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Vehicle Theft (index: 106), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 39).
How does Herndon Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Herndon Estates's overall crime index is 45, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Herndon Estates is 82% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 68, and for property crime it is 84. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Herndon Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Herndon Estates is Vehicle Theft, with a crime index of 106 (6% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Herndon Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Downtown, Vintage Modesto East McHenry and Graceada Park. These areas are close to Herndon Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Herndon Estates?
Herndon Estates has a population of approximately 332. The median household income is $43,907. The median home value is $323,993. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Herndon Estates crime compare to the national average?
Herndon Estates's overall crime rate is 55% below the national average (index 45 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.