Falling Leaf Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Falling Leaf Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Falling Leaf in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 61, which is 39% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Falling Leaf is 66% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, vehicle theft is the most elevated concern (index: 112, 12% above average), while assault is the lowest risk (index: 56).
Falling Leaf Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
76 | -24% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
56 | -44% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
99 | -1% | Average | |
|
Rape
|
88 | -12% | Average | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
58 | -42% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
101 | +1% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
112 | +12% | Moderate | |
How Falling Leaf Compares
Crime index by category: Falling Leaf vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Falling Leaf Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Falling Leaf Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Falling Leaf, Modesto?
Falling Leaf in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 61, which is 39% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Falling Leaf is 66% lower.
Is Falling Leaf a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Falling Leaf is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Vehicle Theft (index: 112), while Assault is the lowest risk (index: 56).
How does Falling Leaf compare to the rest of Modesto?
Falling Leaf's overall crime index is 61, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Falling Leaf is 66% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 80, and for property crime it is 90. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Falling Leaf?
The most prevalent crime type in Falling Leaf is Vehicle Theft, with a crime index of 112 (12% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Falling Leaf?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Enslen. These areas are close to Falling Leaf and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Falling Leaf?
Falling Leaf has a population of approximately 449. The median household income is $101,057. The median home value is $497,306. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Falling Leaf crime compare to the national average?
Falling Leaf's overall crime rate is 39% below the national average (index 61 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.