Erin Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Above-average safety — lower crime than most neighborhoods
Safety at a Glance
Check a specific address
in Modesto
Is Erin Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safer than most. Erin Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of B+. The overall crime index is 98, which is 2% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Erin Estates is 29% lower in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, assault is the most elevated concern (index: 175, 75% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 39). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.
Erin Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
104 | +4% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
175 | +75% | High | |
|
Robbery
|
99 | -1% | Average | |
|
Rape
|
39 | -61% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
139 | +39% | Moderate | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
147 | +47% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
120 | +20% | Moderate | |
How Erin Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Erin Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Erin Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Erin Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Erin Estates, Modesto?
Erin Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 98, which is 2% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Erin Estates is 29% lower.
Is Erin Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Erin Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of B+. The highest concern is Assault (index: 175), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 39).
How does Erin Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Erin Estates's overall crime index is 98, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Erin Estates is 29% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 104, and for property crime it is 135. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Erin Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Erin Estates is Assault, with a crime index of 175 (75% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Erin Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Enslen. These areas are close to Erin Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Erin Estates?
Erin Estates has a population of approximately 217. The median household income is $79,722. The median home value is $401,321. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Erin Estates crime compare to the national average?
Erin Estates's overall crime rate is 2% below the national average (index 98 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.