Elm Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
Check a specific address
in Modesto
Is Elm Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Elm Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 110, which is 10% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Elm Estates is 17% lower in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 135, 35% above average), while vehicle theft is the lowest risk (index: 30). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.
Elm Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
84 | -16% | Average | |
|
Assault
|
124 | +24% | Moderate | |
|
Robbery
|
125 | +25% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
135 | +35% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
74 | -26% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
77 | -23% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
30 | -70% | Low | |
How Elm Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Elm Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Elm Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Elm Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Elm Estates, Modesto?
Elm Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 110, which is 10% above the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Elm Estates is 17% lower.
Is Elm Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Elm Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Rape (index: 135), while Vehicle Theft is the lowest risk (index: 30).
How does Elm Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Elm Estates's overall crime index is 110, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Elm Estates is 17% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 117, and for property crime it is 60. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Elm Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Elm Estates is Rape, with a crime index of 135 (35% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Elm Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Graceada Park, Downtown, Enslen and Hintze / Fairmont. These areas are close to Elm Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Elm Estates?
Elm Estates has a population of approximately 11. The median household income is $76,307. The median home value is $361,661. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Elm Estates crime compare to the national average?
Elm Estates's overall crime rate is 10% above the national average (index 110 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.