Ellis Neighborhood, Modesto
Last updated: October 1, 2026
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Summary: Ellis, Modesto Crime Rate (2026)
Ellis, Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime rate is 25% above the national average.
Data source: FBI UCR & local law enforcement data. Last updated: October 1, 2026.
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Ellis Safe?
Mixed — the grade is relative to other neighborhoods, but crime is above the national average. Ellis in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 125, which is 25% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Ellis is 2% lower in overall crime. Crime levels here are roughly in line with the city average.
Looking at specific crime types, larceny / theft is the most elevated concern (index: 165, 65% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 104).
Ellis Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
118 | +18% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
152 | +52% | High | |
|
Robbery
|
151 | +51% | High | |
|
Rape
|
104 | +4% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
124 | +24% | Moderate | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
165 | +65% | High | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
148 | +48% | Moderate | |
How Ellis Compares
Crime index by category: Ellis vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Ellis Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Ellis Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Ellis, Modesto?
Ellis in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 125, which is 25% above the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Ellis is 2% lower.
Is Ellis a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Ellis has elevated crime levels with a safety grade of A-. Extra caution is recommended, especially at night. The highest concern is Larceny / Theft (index: 165), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 104).
How does Ellis compare to the rest of Modesto?
Ellis's overall crime index is 125, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Ellis is 2% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 131, and for property crime it is 146. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Ellis?
The most common crime type in Ellis is Larceny / Theft, with a crime index of 165 (65% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more common than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Ellis?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Vintage Modesto East McHenry, Hintze / Fairmont and Downtown. These areas are close to Ellis and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Ellis?
Ellis has a population of approximately 109. The median household income is $47,899. The median home value is $322,960. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Ellis crime compare to the national average?
Ellis's overall crime rate is 25% above the national average (index 125 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated October 2026.