Central Estates Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
One of the safest neighborhoods — significantly below-average crime
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Central Estates Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is extremely safe. Central Estates in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A+. The overall crime index is 16, which is 84% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Central Estates is 111% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Modesto as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 94, 6% below average), while murder is the lowest risk (index: 8).
Central Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
8 | -92% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
24 | -76% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
66 | -34% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
94 | -6% | Average | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
30 | -70% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
79 | -21% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
74 | -26% | Low | |
How Central Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Central Estates vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Central Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Central Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Central Estates, Modesto?
Central Estates in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 16, which is 84% below the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Central Estates is 111% lower.
Is Central Estates a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Central Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A+. The highest concern is Rape (index: 94), while Murder is the lowest risk (index: 8).
How does Central Estates compare to the rest of Modesto?
Central Estates's overall crime index is 16, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Central Estates is 111% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 48, and for property crime it is 61. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Central Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Central Estates is Rape, with a crime index of 94 (6% below the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.
What are safer neighborhoods near Central Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include La Loma, Downtown, Vintage Modesto East McHenry and Graceada Park. These areas are close to Central Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Central Estates?
Central Estates has a population of approximately 185. The median household income is $107,407. The median home value is $420,942. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Central Estates crime compare to the national average?
Central Estates's overall crime rate is 84% below the national average (index 16 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.