Bel Air Neighborhood, Modesto
Crime Rate & Statistics
Safe neighborhood — below-average crime across most categories
Safety at a Glance
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in Modesto
Is Bel Air Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is safe. Bel Air in Modesto, CA has a safety grade of A-. The overall crime index is 107, which is 7% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Modesto average (crime index 127), Bel Air is 20% lower in overall crime.
Looking at specific crime types, robbery is the most elevated concern (index: 153, 53% above average), while murder is the lowest risk (index: 109).
Bel Air Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Modesto city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
109 | +9% | Moderate | |
|
Assault
|
135 | +35% | Moderate | |
|
Robbery
|
153 | +53% | High | |
|
Rape
|
130 | +30% | Moderate | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
116 | +16% | Moderate | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
140 | +40% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
117 | +17% | Moderate | |
How Bel Air Compares
Crime index by category: Bel Air vs Modesto average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Bel Air Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Bel Air Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Bel Air, Modesto?
Bel Air in Modesto, CA has a crime safety grade of A- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 107, which is 7% above the national average. Compared to the Modesto average, crime in Bel Air is 20% lower.
Is Bel Air a safe neighborhood in Modesto?
Bel Air is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Modesto, earning a crime grade of A-. The highest concern is Robbery (index: 153), while Murder is the lowest risk (index: 109).
How does Bel Air compare to the rest of Modesto?
Bel Air's overall crime index is 107, compared to the Modesto average of 127. This means crime in Bel Air is 20% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 132, and for property crime it is 124. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Bel Air?
The most prevalent crime type in Bel Air is Robbery, with a crime index of 153 (53% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Bel Air?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Vintage Fair Estates, Enslen, Hintze / Fairmont and Graceada Park. These areas are close to Bel Air and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Bel Air?
Bel Air has a population of approximately 573. The median household income is $64,743. The median home value is $404,432. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Bel Air crime compare to the national average?
Bel Air's overall crime rate is 7% above the national average (index 107 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.