Carefree El Toro Neighborhood, Lake Forest
Last updated: May 17, 2026
Crime Rate & Statistics
Very safe neighborhood — well below-average crime rates
Summary: Carefree El Toro, Lake Forest Crime Rate (2026)
Carefree El Toro in Lake Forest, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 27, which is 73% below the national average.
Data source: FBI UCR & local law enforcement data. Last updated: May 17, 2026.
Safety at a Glance
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in Lake Forest
Is Carefree El Toro Safe?
Yes — this neighborhood is very safe. Carefree El Toro in Lake Forest, CA has a safety grade of A. The overall crime index is 27, which is 73% below the national average of 100.
Compared to the Lake Forest average (crime index 63), Carefree El Toro is 36% lower in overall crime. This neighborhood is significantly safer than Lake Forest as a whole, making it an attractive option for safety-conscious residents.
Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 60, 40% below average), while larceny / theft is the lowest risk (index: 2). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.
Carefree El Toro Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Lake Forest city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
55 | -45% | Low | |
|
Assault
|
6 | -94% | Low | |
|
Robbery
|
40 | -60% | Low | |
|
Rape
|
60 | -40% | Low | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
6 | -94% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
2 | -98% | Low | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
26 | -74% | Low | |
How Carefree El Toro Compares
Crime index by category: Carefree El Toro vs Lake Forest average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Carefree El Toro Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Carefree El Toro Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Carefree El Toro, Lake Forest?
Carefree El Toro in Lake Forest, CA has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026. The overall crime index is 27, which is 73% below the national average. Compared to the Lake Forest average, crime in Carefree El Toro is 36% lower.
Is Carefree El Toro a safe neighborhood in Lake Forest?
Carefree El Toro is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Lake Forest, earning a crime grade of A. The highest concern is Rape (index: 60), while Larceny / Theft is the lowest risk (index: 2).
How does Carefree El Toro compare to the rest of Lake Forest?
Carefree El Toro's overall crime index is 27, compared to the Lake Forest average of 63. This means crime in Carefree El Toro is 36% lower than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 40, and for property crime it is 11. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Carefree El Toro?
The most prevalent crime type in Carefree El Toro is Rape, with a crime index of 60 (40% below the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Carefree El Toro?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include El Toro, Lake Forest, Rancho de Los Alisos and Serrano Highlands. These areas are close to Carefree El Toro and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Carefree El Toro?
Carefree El Toro has a population of approximately 260. The median household income is $132,262. The median home value is $504,604. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Carefree El Toro crime compare to the national average?
Carefree El Toro's overall crime rate is 73% below the national average (index 27 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated May 2026.