Holly Run Estates Neighborhood, Fredericksburg
Crime Rate & Statistics
Fairly safe — slightly below-average crime levels
Safety at a Glance
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in Fredericksburg
Is Holly Run Estates Safe?
Mostly yes — this neighborhood is fairly safe. Holly Run Estates in Fredericksburg, VA has a safety grade of B-. The overall crime index is 158, which is 58% above the national average of 100.
Compared to the Fredericksburg average (crime index 98), Holly Run Estates is 60% higher in overall crime. Residents and visitors should exercise extra caution in this area, particularly after dark.
Looking at specific crime types, rape is the most elevated concern (index: 175, 75% above average), while burglary is the lowest risk (index: 80). Violent crime is a particular area of concern relative to property crime in this neighborhood.
Holly Run Estates Crime Breakdown
Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Fredericksburg city average. Higher values mean more crime.
| Crime Type | Index | vs National | Risk Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime | ||||
|
Murder
|
162 | +62% | High | |
|
Assault
|
161 | +61% | High | |
|
Robbery
|
117 | +17% | Moderate | |
|
Rape
|
175 | +75% | High | |
| Property Crime | ||||
|
Burglary
|
80 | -20% | Low | |
|
Larceny / Theft
|
104 | +4% | Moderate | |
|
Vehicle Theft
|
165 | +65% | High | |
How Holly Run Estates Compares
Crime index by category: Holly Run Estates vs Fredericksburg average vs national average.
Crime by Category
Overall Crime Comparison
Holly Run Estates Crime Map
Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.
See the crime score for a specific address
Holly Run Estates Demographics & Context
Education
Housing
Racial Demographics
Nearby Neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crime rate in Holly Run Estates, Fredericksburg?
Holly Run Estates in Fredericksburg, VA has a crime safety grade of B- as of 2026. The overall crime index is 158, which is 58% above the national average. Compared to the Fredericksburg average, crime in Holly Run Estates is 60% higher.
Is Holly Run Estates a safe neighborhood in Fredericksburg?
Holly Run Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Fredericksburg, earning a crime grade of B-. The highest concern is Rape (index: 175), while Burglary is the lowest risk (index: 80).
How does Holly Run Estates compare to the rest of Fredericksburg?
Holly Run Estates's overall crime index is 158, compared to the Fredericksburg average of 98. This means crime in Holly Run Estates is 60% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 154, and for property crime it is 116. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.
What type of crime is most common in Holly Run Estates?
The most prevalent crime type in Holly Run Estates is Rape, with a crime index of 175 (75% above the national average). Violent crime is a particular concern in this neighborhood relative to property crime.
What are safer neighborhoods near Holly Run Estates?
Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Fox Point, Lee's Parke and Lee's Hill. These areas are close to Holly Run Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.
What are the demographics of Holly Run Estates?
Holly Run Estates has a population of approximately 26. The median household income is $142,141. The median home value is $627,047. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.
How does Holly Run Estates crime compare to the national average?
Holly Run Estates's overall crime rate is 58% above the national average (index 158 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.
Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated April 2026.