Arcola Lake Estates Neighborhood, Ashburn

Last updated: May 21, 2026

Crime Rate & Statistics

B+

Above-average safety — lower crime than most neighborhoods

Summary: Arcola Lake Estates, Ashburn Crime Rate (2026)

Arcola Lake Estates in Ashburn, VA has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 130, which is 30% above the national average.

Data source: FBI UCR & local law enforcement data. Last updated: May 21, 2026.

Safety at a Glance

Overall Crime Moderate
Low 130 / 300 High
Violent Crime 84
16% below national avg
Property Crime 118
18% above national avg

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in Ashburn

Is Arcola Lake Estates Safe?

Yes — this neighborhood is safer than most. Arcola Lake Estates in Ashburn, VA has a safety grade of B+. The overall crime index is 130, which is 30% above the national average of 100.

Compared to the Ashburn average (crime index 40), Arcola Lake Estates is 90% higher in overall crime. Residents and visitors should exercise extra caution in this area, particularly after dark.

Looking at specific crime types, burglary is the most elevated concern (index: 192, 92% above average), while rape is the lowest risk (index: 10). Property crime is more prevalent than violent crime here, consistent with broader national patterns.

Highest Risk
Burglary · Index 192 (92% above avg)
Lowest Risk
Rape · Index 10 (90% below avg)

Arcola Lake Estates Crime Breakdown

Crime indices compared to national average (100) and Ashburn city average. Higher values mean more crime.

Crime Type Index vs National Risk Level
Violent Crime
Murder
122 +22% Moderate
Assault
127 +27% Moderate
Robbery
75 -25% Low
Rape
10 -90% Low
Property Crime
Burglary
192 +92% High
Larceny / Theft
63 -37% Low
Vehicle Theft
98 -2% Average

How Arcola Lake Estates Compares

Crime index by category: Arcola Lake Estates vs Ashburn average vs national average.

Crime by Category

Overall Crime Comparison

Arcola Lake Estates Crime Map

Crime heatmap based on block-group level data. Red areas indicate higher crime density.

Full Screen Map
Crime Level: Low Below Avg Average Above Avg High

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Arcola Lake Estates Demographics & Context

Population
1,330
Median Income
$137,993
Home Value
$2,225,392
Median Age
30
Pop. Density
1,698/mi²

Education

Bachelor's Degree 55.4%
Graduate Degree 20.3%

Housing

71%
29%
Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

Racial Demographics

White 56%
Black 11.3%
Hispanic 9.7%
Asian 23.3%

Nearby Neighborhoods

Brambleton Index: 29
A+
Broadlands Index: 16
A+
Loudoun Valley Estates Index: 1
A+
Moorefield Station
A+
Ashburn Index: 44
A
Belmont Index: 32
A
University Center Index: 155
C+
Arcola Lake Estates Crime Map
Interactive crime heatmap for this neighborhood
Ashburn Crime Statistics
View all Ashburn neighborhoods & city-wide data

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crime rate in Arcola Lake Estates, Ashburn?

Arcola Lake Estates in Ashburn, VA has a crime safety grade of B+ as of 2026. The overall crime index is 130, which is 30% above the national average. Compared to the Ashburn average, crime in Arcola Lake Estates is 90% higher.

Is Arcola Lake Estates a safe neighborhood in Ashburn?

Arcola Lake Estates is generally considered a safe neighborhood in Ashburn, earning a crime grade of B+. The highest concern is Burglary (index: 192), while Rape is the lowest risk (index: 10).

How does Arcola Lake Estates compare to the rest of Ashburn?

Arcola Lake Estates's overall crime index is 130, compared to the Ashburn average of 40. This means crime in Arcola Lake Estates is 90% higher than the city average. For violent crime, the index is 84, and for property crime it is 118. However, crime can vary block by block, so checking the crime map for specific streets is recommended.

What type of crime is most common in Arcola Lake Estates?

The most prevalent crime type in Arcola Lake Estates is Burglary, with a crime index of 192 (92% above the national average). Overall, property crime is more prevalent than violent crime in this neighborhood, which is consistent with national trends.

What are safer neighborhoods near Arcola Lake Estates?

Nearby neighborhoods with good safety ratings include Brambleton, Broadlands, Loudoun Valley Estates and Moorefield Station. These areas are close to Arcola Lake Estates and offer lower crime rates, making them worth considering for residents who prioritize safety.

What are the demographics of Arcola Lake Estates?

Arcola Lake Estates has a population of approximately 1,330. The median household income is $137,993. The median home value is $2,225,392. Research shows that economic factors can correlate with crime rates, though many other variables play a role in neighborhood safety.

How does Arcola Lake Estates crime compare to the national average?

Arcola Lake Estates's overall crime rate is 30% above the national average (index 130 vs 100). For the most accurate picture, review the per-crime-type breakdown above, as some categories may differ significantly from the overall trend.

Crime data sourced from FBI UCR reports and local law enforcement agencies. Crime indices use 100 as the national average. Updated May 2026.